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How The Pieces Add Up: IGE Targets $28

By Metals Channel Staff, Tuesday, January 19, 7:41 AM ET
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Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the iShares North American Natural Resources ETF (AMEX:IGE), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $27.71 per unit.

With IGE trading at a recent price near $25.23 per unit, that means that analysts see 9.83% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of IGE's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Kinross Gold Corp. (NYSE:KGC), Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd (KL), and Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE:GOLD). Although KGC has traded at a recent price of $6.96/share, the average analyst target is 63.79% higher at $11.40/share. Similarly, KL has 47.91% upside from the recent share price of $39.32 if the average analyst target price of $58.16/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting GOLD to reach a target price of $31.41/share, which is 35.73% above the recent price of $23.14. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of KGC, KL, and GOLD:

KGC, KL, and GOLD Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
iShares North American Natural Resources ETF IGE $25.23 $27.71 9.83%
Kinross Gold Corp. KGC $6.96 $11.40 63.79%
Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd KL $39.32 $58.16 47.91%
Barrick Gold Corp. GOLD $23.14 $31.41 35.73%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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This Article's Word Cloud:   American   Analyst   Barrick   Below   Corp   ETFs   FREEGet   GOLD   Gold   Kinross   Kirkland   Lake   NYSE   Natural   North   Resources   Target   Upside   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   have   hctblstyle   holdings   iShares   latest   mdash   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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