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Surprising Analyst 12-Month Target For PID

By Metals Channel Staff, Wednesday, February 1, 7:41 AM ET
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Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the Invesco International Dividend Achievers ETF (NASDAQ:PID), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $19.95 per unit.

With PID trading at a recent price near $18.06 per unit, that means that analysts see 10.46% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of PID's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Rio Tinto plc (NYSE:RIO), Stantec Inc (NYSE:STN), and RELX PLC (NYSE:RELX). Although RIO has traded at a recent price of $79.35/share, the average analyst target is 15.31% higher at $91.50/share. Similarly, STN has 14.93% upside from the recent share price of $52.16 if the average analyst target price of $59.95/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting RELX to reach a target price of $34.00/share, which is 14.44% above the recent price of $29.71. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of RIO, STN, and RELX:

RIO, STN, and RELX Relative Performance Chart

Combined, RIO, STN, and RELX represent 6.83% of the Invesco International Dividend Achievers ETF. Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
Invesco International Dividend Achievers ETF PID $18.06 $19.95 10.46%
Rio Tinto plc RIO $79.35 $91.50 15.31%
Stantec Inc STN $52.16 $59.95 14.93%
RELX PLC RELX $29.71 $34.00 14.44%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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This Article's Word Cloud:   Achievers   Analyst   Below   Dividend   ETFs   FREEGet   International   Invesco   NYSE   RELX   Stantec   Target   Tinto   Upside   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   have   hctblstyle   holdings   implied   latest   mdash   month   padding   price   prices   recent   report   research   share   solid   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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